Commodities Market Impact Weather: Favorable Midwest Pattern

OMAHA–Crop-friendly Midwest conditions, and a hot pattern over the Southern Plains, are the primary weather items for the commodity trade’s attention Monday.

 
   BENIGN MIDWEST CONDITIONS 
 
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The DTN ag weather forecast calls for continued generally favorable conditions for pollinating and filling corn, as well as developing and filling soybeans, throughout the Midwest with no significant hot and dry weather expected during the next 10 days.

 
   HOT SOUTHERN PLAINS PATTERN 
 
 

In the Southern Plains, more rain would benefit filling corn and developing soybeans. Hot weather and limited rainfall this week will increase stress.

 
   INCREASED DELTA SHOWERS 
 
 

Delta crops are benefiting from a more frequent round of showers, which began last week. However, a hot pattern this week may be somewhat stressful to crops.

 
   NORTHERN PLAINS SHOWERS 
 
 

In the Northern Plains, rain showers this week will cause some delays to spring wheat harvest. For row crops, conditions are favorable for pollinating and filling corn and developing soybeans.

 
   MILD PRAIRIES TREND 
 
 

For the Canadian Prairies, the trend remains mild for developing crops.

 
   LIMITED RAIN IN FRANCE 
 
 

Drier weather continues to affect southwest and central France. Some hot weather may return this week. Subsoil moisture remains adequate due to heavy spring rains, but top soils may be somewhat drier.

 
   DRY WEEK FOR RUSSIA 
 
 

Russia and Ukraine will be mainly dry or with only a few light showers for key growing areas of south and east Ukraine and South Russia this week. Temperatures average above- to well-above normal. This will increase the risk to reproductive and filling corn and sunflower.

 
   DRYNESS FOR CHINA SOYBEANS 
 
 

In northeastern China, dryness continues to be of concern in key soybean growing areas of Heilongjiang province. The weather has not been very hot but may turn hotter this week. Filling soybeans are at risk due to below-normal summer rains, especially when combined with above-normal temperatures. Key corn growing areas of Jilin and Liaoning have been doing much better recently with periods of rain, some heavy rain, and seasonal temperatures. This area may also trend drier and warmer, but should be better able to handle this at this time.

 
   LIGHT WESTERN INDIA RAIN 
 
 

Across India, more rain is needed to support cotton and groundnuts in Gujarat state in western India. It appears that rainfall may remain limited during the next seven to 10 days. Most other areas of India have had and will continue to have more favorable monsoon rains.

Write to Bryce Anderson at bryce.anderson[a]dtn.com

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